{"id":2527,"date":"2026-07-12T15:00:38","date_gmt":"2026-07-12T15:00:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/xrpfaucet.site\/?p=2527"},"modified":"2026-07-12T15:00:38","modified_gmt":"2026-07-12T15:00:38","slug":"economists-see-lower-recession-risk-will-fed-still-hike-interest-rates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xrpfaucet.site\/?p=2527","title":{"rendered":"Economists See Lower Recession Risk: Will Fed Still Hike Interest Rates?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\ud83d\udcf0 Exclusive Crypto News & Analysis:<\/strong> Stay ahead with the latest developments in the cryptocurrency and blockchain space.<\/p>\n

\ud83d\udcc8 Market Update:<\/strong> Real-time price movements, technical analysis, and trading signals.<\/p>\n

US economists lowered their recession odds to 25% while raising inflation forecasts, according to a Wall Street Journal survey, leaving the Federal Reserve little room to cut interest rates this year.<\/strong><\/p>\n

The shift matters for crypto markets. A higher-for-longer Fed removes the catalyst that risk assets had counted on for a second-half recovery.<\/p>\n

Survey Points to Sticky Inflation and a Cautious Fed<\/h2>\n

The July survey of 72 economists ran from July 2 to July 7. They cut recession odds to 25%<\/a> from 33%, the lowest reading since early 2025. <\/p>\n

Follow us on X<\/a> to get the latest news as it happens <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\"US
US Recession Risk Odds. Source: Wall Street Journal Survey<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Job-market views improved too, with December unemployment seen at 4.3%. Furthermore, forecasters now expect the economy to grow 2.1% this year, up from 2% in April.<\/p>\n

Nonetheless, inflation told a different story. Economists expect consumer prices<\/a> to rise 3.4% through December, above April’s 3.2% estimate. Core PCE, the gauge Fed watches most closely, is projected at 3.2%.<\/p>\n

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“We’re learning that there’s more momentum in the economy: It keeps growing at 2% no matter what you throw at it, and inflation stays elevated,” Robert Fry, a Delaware-based independent economic consultant, said.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Why Rate Expectations Weigh on Bitcoin<\/h2>\n

Interest rates shape how investors treat risk. Lower rates cut returns on cash and bonds, pushing money into stocks and crypto. Higher-for-longer rates do the reverse.<\/p>\n

When safe assets pay more, capital rotates out of volatile holdings first. Bitcoin (BTC) often sits <\/a>near the front of that queue. A delayed cut, therefore, removes a key support.<\/p>\n

Traders have turned more hawkish this week. CME FedWatch shows a 34.2% chance of a hike at the July meeting, up from 18.2% a week ago. Renewed US-Iran hostilities have fueled those bets.<\/p>\n

\"Fed
Fed Rate Hike Odds in July. Source: CME FedWatch<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The Fed’s June minutes reinforced the divide. Officials voted unanimously to hold, yet split on the path ahead. Nine of 18 policymakers projected<\/a> one hike before the end of 2026.<\/p>\n

Several flagged inflation risks are tied to spending on artificial intelligence (AI).<\/a> The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28 and 29. <\/p>\n

Given persistent inflation, a rate cut looks unlikely. Cooler data must now do the work of reviving risk appetite.<\/p>\n

Subscribe to our YouTube<\/a> channel to watch leaders and journalists provide expert insights<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

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The post Economists See Lower Recession Risk: Will Fed Still Hike Interest Rates?<\/a> appeared first on BeInCrypto<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\ud83d\udca1 Pro Tip:<\/strong> Bookmark our site for daily insights, market predictions, and expert trading strategies.<\/p>\n

\ud83d\udd17 Explore More:<\/strong> Check our sections for in-depth guides, exchange reviews, and blockchain technology deep-dives.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ud83d\udcf0 Exclusive Crypto News & Analysis: Stay ahead with the latest developments in the cryptocurrency and blockchain space. \ud83d\udcc8 Market Update: Real-time price movements, technical analysis, and trading signals. US economists lowered their recession odds to 25% while raising inflation forecasts, according to a Wall Street Journal survey, leaving the Federal Reserve little room to …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2528,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_robots_follow":"","_seopress_robots_imageindex":"","_seopress_robots_snippet":"","_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_robots_breadcrumbs":"","_seopress_robots_freeze_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_custom_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_canonical":"","_seopress_social_fb_title":"","_seopress_social_fb_desc":"","_seopress_social_fb_img":"","_seopress_social_fb_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_height":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_title":"","_seopress_social_twitter_desc":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_height":0,"_seopress_redirections_value":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled_regex":"","_seopress_redirections_logged_status":"","_seopress_redirections_param":"","_seopress_redirections_type":0,"_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2527","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/xrpfaucet.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2527","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/xrpfaucet.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/xrpfaucet.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xrpfaucet.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xrpfaucet.site\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2527"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/xrpfaucet.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2527\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xrpfaucet.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2528"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/xrpfaucet.site\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2527"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xrpfaucet.site\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2527"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xrpfaucet.site\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2527"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}